Wednesday 21 September 2011

Palestinian Statehood.

10:42PM BST 20 Sep 2011.
Riyad al-Maliki, the foreign minister of the Palestinian Authority, said that seven UN Security Council members had pledged to endorse an application for statehood.
The support of nine of the 15 countries on the council would require the United States into the uncomfortable position of using its veto, which it is entitled to as one of the five permanent members but wants to avoid given the new mood in the Arab world and President Barack Obama's vocal support for the eventual outcome of a Palestinian state.
Mr Obama will meet both Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, and Mahmoud Abbas, the president of the Palestinian Authority, in New York on Wednesday in last minute efforts to forge a compromise.
The likes of Nigeria, Gabon and Bosnia have become unlikely kingmakers in one of the most explosive issues addressed at the UN for decades, with their votes being eagerly courted by both the Palestinians and the Americans. All three countries are serving as non-permanent members of the council, which is empowered to welcome new countries into the 193-member world body.
"I hope that the United States will change its position and follow the majority of countries which want to support the Palestinian right to self-determination and an independent state," said Mr Maliki."
"There is a lot of talking going on and a lot of arms being twisted. This will probably go right down to the wire," he said.
Mr Abbas has vowed to present the application for statehood on Friday when he addresses world leaders gathered for the UN's annual general assembly.
He has argued that the Palestinians have no choice but to pursue nation status after peace talks with the Israelis aimed at creating a viable Palestinian state from the West Bank and Gaza collapsed last year.
Only three states, the US, Germany and Colombia, have said they would oppose the Palestinian proposal. According to one official at the UN, the Palestinians already have eight votes, with Nigeria and Gabon are already on board, along with Russia, China, South Africa, Brazil, Lebanon and India, leaving Bosnia as the effective casting vote. But assessments of current voting intentions vary.
Britain, France and Portugal have not declared their intentions, but would probably vote no out of loyalty to the United States. They hope to avoid a security council vote through efforts by the European Union and the Quartet mediation group on the Middle East to broker a compromise.
The Quartet is working on a joint statement that would include an upgrading of the Palestinian Authority's status at the UN, a recognition of Israel as a "nation state for the Jewish people" and a time frame for resumed negotiations.
Shortly before a meeting with Mr Abbas, William Hague, the Foreign Secretary, admitted "no progress" had been made on the statement in the previous 24 hours.
"We are all talking about how we can get the Israelis and Palestinians back into negotiations. That's the object of all the European Union countries," he said.
Another possibility for compromise is that the security council would set up a committee to examine the merits of the Palestinian application, delaying a vote for weeks or even months while the two sides started talking again.
The likelihood is however that after decades of conflict and occupation, the Palestinians will submit their request for statehood, despite threats from the US Congress to cut off funds to the PA, and despite warnings that trouble could flare quickly on the ground.
Yesterday Jewish settlers marched through the northern West Bank in various locations in protest, throwing rocks at Palestinian homes and people.
"This is our land, and there will never be a Palestinian state on the homeland of the Jewish people," said Michael Ben Ari, the ultranationalist member of parliament who led a march in Beit El.
World leaders meanwhile used the UN summit to welcome Libyan leaders who deposed Col Muammar Gaddafi. Meeting interim leader Mustafa Abdel Jalil for the first time, Mr Obama warned that Nato would continue to carry out their campaign of air strikes where civilians were "threatened". The National Transitional Council also received the welcome boost of the African Union and South Africa recognising them.
Wa'laykum Salam.
* The map above shows the land that Palestinians lost to the enemy.

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